The Oregon win was big to put them a game behind us in the loss column and to gain a tiebreaker over them. But it wasn't a Quad 1 win. Maybe it will end up one, but it isn't one now.
Colorado would be a Quad 1 win. If I've learned anything from the committee over the last few years, it's that they value this above all. The year ASU got in ahead of us was a joke. We were ahead of them in just about every metric. But they had a couple of wins over elite teams in November and we did not.
As you get closer to the top of the bracket, quality wins is what the committee wants to see so that they know you can compete. If we want to get to the 3 line and possibly above, this is a must win game.
Also, winning the Pac-12 outright has gotta be the goal. I think if we win three of the last four including the UCLA game, that will get it done for sure. I think Oregon will drop at least one of their last five. My guess is UCLA loses one on this trip and probably at Oregon. Winning tonight really puts us in a good spot. We'll be favored in all of the last three games. If we win tonight, then the path is...
1. A Utah team that has lost three straight and has been undermanned without Jones and Jantunen
2. A Stanford team that has been inconsistent and has struggled on the road.
3. A UCLA team that has been very good at Pauley but has serious match-up issues with us down low and athletically.
If we win tonight, I could see us running the table. It would definitely be a confidence boost.
Here's the Haslametrics preview of the game.
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php...tid2=99&neut=0
Colorado would be a Quad 1 win. If I've learned anything from the committee over the last few years, it's that they value this above all. The year ASU got in ahead of us was a joke. We were ahead of them in just about every metric. But they had a couple of wins over elite teams in November and we did not.
As you get closer to the top of the bracket, quality wins is what the committee wants to see so that they know you can compete. If we want to get to the 3 line and possibly above, this is a must win game.
Also, winning the Pac-12 outright has gotta be the goal. I think if we win three of the last four including the UCLA game, that will get it done for sure. I think Oregon will drop at least one of their last five. My guess is UCLA loses one on this trip and probably at Oregon. Winning tonight really puts us in a good spot. We'll be favored in all of the last three games. If we win tonight, then the path is...
1. A Utah team that has lost three straight and has been undermanned without Jones and Jantunen
2. A Stanford team that has been inconsistent and has struggled on the road.
3. A UCLA team that has been very good at Pauley but has serious match-up issues with us down low and athletically.
If we win tonight, I could see us running the table. It would definitely be a confidence boost.
Here's the Haslametrics preview of the game.
https://haslametrics.com/preview.php...tid2=99&neut=0
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